{"id":28726,"date":"2014-11-09T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2014-11-09T13:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/?p=28726"},"modified":"2016-05-06T15:01:13","modified_gmt":"2016-05-06T21:01:13","slug":"a-head-scratcher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/?p=28726","title":{"rendered":"A Head Scratcher"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Samain \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Closing Moon<\/p>\n<p>If you read my election day post (see below), you&#8217;ll know I tagged two major problems with democracy: the tyranny of the majority and volatility. This article from Slate by\u00a0Jamelle Bouie \u00a0provides the best explanation I&#8217;ve seen for this volatility and it&#8217;s a head scratcher: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.slate.com\/articles\/news_and_politics\/politics\/2014\/11\/the_disunited_states_of_america_why_demographics_republican_obstructionism.html\">The Disunited States of America.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a head scratcher because it posits an identifiable demographic reason for our apparent swings from Democratic influence to Republican. In summary older, white voters who now vote Republican 57% to 43% show up both in the mid-term and Presidential election cycles. The younger, more diverse demographic only shows up in Presidential election years. This age-based divergence\u00a0in participation is of long standing, but the partisan nature of both groups is not.<\/p>\n<p>The effect of this phenomenon is to produce Republican gains in both Senate and House races in the mid-term elections, only to see this process reversed in Presidential election years. This means we will likely sway from a Republican controlled Senate to a Democratically controlled one, neither in a strong position, presided over by a Democratic President for some time to come.<\/p>\n<p>The House is in firm Republican hands for now due largely to gerrymandering, a successful strategy\u00a0called REDMAP. See this article from PBS: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/rundown\/gop-gerrymandering-creates-uphill-fight-dems-house\/\">GOP Gerrymandering<\/a>. The\u00a0demographic influence identified by Bouie tends to reinforce this control.<\/p>\n<p>Anyhow, if you&#8217;re interested further, read the article. It does not bode well for our democracy over the next decade or so at least.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Samain \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Closing Moon If you read my election day post (see below), you&#8217;ll &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/?p=28726\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">A Head Scratcher<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[100],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28726","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28726"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28726\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38169,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28726\/revisions\/38169"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28726"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28726"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28726"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}