{"id":52779,"date":"2020-10-17T07:37:03","date_gmt":"2020-10-17T13:37:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/?p=52779"},"modified":"2020-10-17T07:37:03","modified_gmt":"2020-10-17T13:37:03","slug":"ready-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/?p=52779","title":{"rendered":"Ready?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Fall and the Moon of Radical Change<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Saturday gratefuls: Voted. Voting. Democracy under threat. Polls. Nate Silver: Democrat chances of winning Senate have increased. Kate&#8217;s really good day yesterday. Her reading the first half of Jennie&#8217;s Dead. Down to 2 drops of yellow stuff in my right eye. Can start resistance work again after next week. Vision. Clarity. Not going blind. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Close. Covid&#8217;s getting close. Jacquie, our hair stylist and friend, called on Friday. We had appointments at 10:30. I&#8217;ve got Covid. Oh, s***. Kate said, What if our appointments had been Thursday? Yikes. A wake-up slap in case our attention had drifted. It has not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have entered double jeopardy for the Covid pandemic. Now, coming to a sneezer and cougher hopefully not near you: the Flu! Until late next Spring there are two viruses that seek lodging in your lungs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How we play this Jeopardy round will make history. My guess? On the down side of good. Are you ready to die?! The key: don&#8217;t move on to Final Jeopardy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A day without appointments. Yesterday. Today. Tomorrow. And, the whole next week! Yes. New wheelchair comes Tuesday. Bought a good one. A taste of socialized medicine for us. We waited 5 weeks for a referral to a Medicare approved vendor. We called. We waited. We heard nothing. We called. Nothing. We were renting a wheelchair. Waiting. Hell with it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We do have a choice, bureaucracy or capitalism. I still choose bureaucracy. If we all had to wait five weeks, well, that&#8217;d be ok. We&#8217;d know in advance. Expect it. This hybrid version those of us over 65 have has its merits, but it also has a lot of demerits. The biggest? The referral system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Political observers, long time ones like myself, have a phobic response to polls this election cycle. Nate Silver, 538, whom I said before I trust, says that the polls in 2016 were not that far off. Within the margins of error. We ignore those margins at our peril. That&#8217;s the 2016 lesson. Not to ignore polls. Several polling companies made <a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020\/\">changes<\/a> anyway to reduce complicating factors in 2016.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As I have reviewed what Silver says and read NYT and Washington Post articles about current polls, I believe not only is Trump headed for a loss, but the GOP, too. This could be their Whig moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not so far away. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>VOTE<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fall and the Moon of Radical Change Saturday gratefuls: Voted. Voting. Democracy under threat. Polls. Nate Silver: Democrat chances of winning Senate have increased. Kate&#8217;s really good day yesterday. Her reading the first half of Jennie&#8217;s Dead. Down to 2 drops of yellow stuff in my right eye. Can start resistance work again after next &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/?p=52779\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Ready?<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52779","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52779"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52779\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52780,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52779\/revisions\/52780"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ancientrails.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}