52 bar rises 29.84 0mph NW dewpoint 30 Beltane
Waxing Crescent of the Hare Moon
The Hare moon stands in the west, just above the treeline a ways off our deck. The night is misty and the crescent has a faded glow around it. These nights, still cool, and days that don’t get too hot, ideal. I like the cool days for garden work. Today I stayed out in the sun too long and got a little woozy. Just because the air is cool doesn’t mean the sun isn’t out to get ya.
I wrote Hillary asking her to get out quite a while back. Now the hounds are at her heels. Money won’t come in. The math doesn’t work. Superdelegates have begun to flee. Yet, she has decided to press on. Why? Pride, maybe? Certainly a commitment to being the first woman presidential candidate and then the first woman president. Both laudable and signficant, but by themselves insufficient to keep her in the race. She may not believe what’s happening. She will.
My own take is that Obama will look like very different against McCain than he has against Clinton. He embodies change, as she did, too, but he will look younger, stronger, less hidebound, though he will also look less experienced, less weathered by fate and circumstance. The race will hinge on his ability to pick up some of the Reagan Democrats who swung so decisively behind Hillary. How can he do that? VP is one strategy. I still think his best shot is Bill Richardson, but I read some pundits who think a strong woman would be a good choice. Maybe John Edwards?
Obama by 5 percentage points in the end. That’s my prediction. And I have no basis for it, other than hope and gut instinct, neither too reliable, but there you are.
