Let There Be (which) Light?

Samhain                         Waning Wolf Moon

The snow continues and the wind now gusts around 12 mph.  Accumulation so far is minimal, but NOAA says the storm will pick up energy tonight and continue on through tomorrow afternoon.  Afterward, the temperature will drop below zero at night and remain in the single digits for highs through Tuesday.  This means winter has come on apace.  Average over these same dates is 27-28 with lows in the teens.  Since October our months have been on a sine curve, wonder if that means January will be balmy?  Unlikely, since it’s typically our coldest month, but with the new weather regimen, who knows?

We began a while ago to swap out incandescents for CFLs, though there are still places like stairwells and coat closets where the instant on power of the Edison heritage bulbs still make sense.  We’ll switch to LEDSs when they become affordable and equivalent.  It’s still difficult to find CFLs that really match the brightness of incandescents though halogens work well.  These transition periods are difficult, finding the new tech that performs as well as the old one takes time, sometimes several generations of the new one.  We’re not there yet with efficient lighting.  The LED light shown here retails for $129.00.  Yikes!

Oddly, the post on which I’ve received the most comments was one on the Sunday throat.  Apparently other folks in the US have friends who find the term odd.  Several folks wrote in to say that their family used it.

Thursday is Jon’s 41st birthday.  Wow.  I met when he was 21.  His life has changed a lot since then.  Most notably sobriety, marriage, two kids, home ownership and a good job.  It’s been fun to see him grow.

Let It Snow

Samhain                                    Waning Wolf Moon

The snow began around 10:30 a.m., an hour and a half earlier than predicted.   Though the snow is light right now, the wind has stayed pretty steady around 9 mph, driving the snow at a 60 degree angle to the ground.  The wind has increased the windchill factor to 9 degrees, compared to a 17 degree air temperature.

We have gas, groceries and chew toys for the puppies.  We should be set for a while.  I have my annual physical on December 10th, but the roads should be cleared by then.  If they’re not, I may take the Northstar, but that would leave me stranded in the city until 3 p.m., the first train north.

When a large snow storm approaches, there is a mild hoarding frenzy that occurs.  Cars line up at gas stations, groceries line extend past their usual points.  People do last minute shopping so they can be done before the roads become difficult.  I did see a guy with two snowmobiles on a trailer hopefully gassing up his truck.

Once finished with whatever errands and shopping are necessary, if we can, we hunker down and watch it snow.   Later, some of us will strap on snowshoes or cross-country skis and get out to enjoy the changed countryside.

Right now, Kate and I will take our nap and see what the yard looks like after an hour or so of sleep.

Bombogenesis

Samhain                                       Waning Wolf Moon

The anticipation of a snow storm, especially the first one of the season, still generates wonder.  A force of nature moves slowly toward us, we know it will transform our world, change it to some extent beyond recognition, yet it feels benign, unlike the hook echoes, derechos and tornadoes of summer thunderstorms.

12809goesThe storm continues to lift toward the north.  According to NOAA it will reach us here in the northern suburbs around noon, perhaps a bit later.

(The GOES shot currently posted on the NOAA website.)

While reading Paul Douglas on this storm, I learned a new word, bombogenesis–a low that drops its central pressure by 24mb or more in a 24hr period, essentially 1mb per hour for 24 hours.  Why does this matter?  It intensifies the winds in a storm and is more typical, again according to Paul Douglas, of  Nor’easters.  The air rushes in toward the suddenly lower pressure in the middle of the storm.

I have to put up my Just Needs Snow sign and my snow depth gauge, then head out to Costco.  Oh, boy.

Thrashing in the Desert

Samhain                                     Waning Wolf Moon

Oh, my.  The day after the Viking’s thrashing in the desert, the mauling in the sand, the collapse in the sun brings…not much.  Favre admitted they got outplayed and that he, in particular, succumbed to old ways, win it himself by throwing, throwing, throwing, avoiding the question of open receivers and the running game.

A fan’s emotional response to their team’s victories or losses has been studied and found to have a link to mood in the days and weeks after a game or season are over.  No surprise there, I guess.  Still, it’s funny, isn’t it?  If I go to the Guthrie and see a weak play, I don’t feel bad about myself.  I think they may not have rehearsed enough or cast poorly.  If I go the Chamber Orchestra and there’s a few squeaks and chirps, flats and sharps, I don’t drive home wondering how that could be and how, in a visceral way, it reflects on me and the whole Twin Cities, Minnesota.

Now I’m not saying I feel bad about myself because the Viking’s lost, but I feel a slight down note today, a mild OMG.  Why is that?  It may be that the theater and music fit well into my upper middle class, educated lifestyle, entertainments that have an intellectual side honed over decades.  I have a critical reaction to them, a reasoned and analytical response, more like a newspaper movie critic than a fan.

Neither baseball nor basketball engage me, hook me, the way football does.  It’s surprising basketball doesn’t hook me because it certainly did when I lived in Indiana.  When the Alexandria Tigers played well, especially in the sectionals, I felt great.  When they lost, I felt bad.

Now, football.  As I watch a game, my body often moves empathically, curving around a defensive player, lowering a shoulder to get past an offensive linemen.  There is a distinct emotional connection, an emotional connection not related to how I analyze the game, but to the men, these giants and superstar athletes.  When they hurt, so do I.  When they jump up and down, so do I.

Maybe that’s it.  The boy who ran the bases in a pick-up baseball game or who played flag football with fervor comes to the fore, the line between watcher and the watched blurs, crosses over the line.   He does not analyze the game, or the play or the theater.  He merely feels dejected if he loses or happy if he wins.  Why?  Why is not a question he wishes to answer, knows how to answer.  He feels.  That’s it.

Haul the toboggan out of the rafters, wax up those cross-country skis and check the bindings on your snowshoes

Samhain                                      Waning Wolf Moon

Find the mittens and the mad bomber hats.  Haul the toboggan out of the rafters, wax up those cross-country skis and check the bindings on your snowshoes.

Oh, yeah.  You might want gas for the snowblower.  Dig out the snow shovels from that place you put them last March.  Where was that again?

I don’t know about you but I’m hoping for the big hit.  A good snow fall will amp up the seasonal cheer.

According to NOAA and Paul Douglas, this is the real deal, heading in with heavier than normal moisture, winds and a track that seems to keep lifting north from the original predictions of a storm that would hit mainly southern Minnesota.winterstormmoving-east

(NOAA GOES graphic showing the storm as it moves east and north)

Excerpt below from NOAA Winter Weather Watch:

MODEL TRENDS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS HAVE THIS STORM SYSTEM STRONGER AND MAY PRODUCE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT…AND INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


THE WINTER STORM WATCH EXTENDS FROM REDWOOD FALLS TO MORA ON EASTWARD…INCLUDING THE TWIN CITIES METROPOLITAN AREA AS WELL AS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. SNOW AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH SNOW TOTALS REACHING OR EXCEEDING SIX INCHES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW…SLEET…OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

Logicomix

Samhain                           Waning Wolf Moon

Sigh.  The Vikings.  Going to the Cardinals for a big game has proved unhappy for us.  Again.  I don’t even know the final score because I turned it off with 6 minutes to go.  Not a pretty sight.

Logicomix is a great read.  If you love philosophy and logic.  Which I do.  I had forgotten my passionate affair with logic until reading this graphic novel.  In my freshman year of college I took Symbolic Logic from Professor Larry Hackestaffe, most famous for wandering the main yard of Wabash College with a six-pack of Budweiser fastened to his belt through one of the plastic can holders.

This was logic in the formal sense with proofs and theorems, logical symbols and head breaking chains of reasoning.  This was my second semester in college.  The first had been tough because German and I did not see eye to eye and I dropped it to avoid failing.  After my valedictory year at Alexandria-Monroe High School, that defeat stung.  The grammar and writing guy was also not impressed with my work, giving me a C for the first term.

Symbolic Logic came along because philosophy was what had been missing in my life up till then, intellectual rigor, unafraid, thought seeking understanding at the most basic, essential levels, colorful characters like Heraclitus, Socrates, Aristotle, William of Occam bursting upon the stage, contradicting each other, going one step further or pulling others one step back.  God, it was exciting.  That was the first semester at Wabash, the same semester as Freshman English and German.

In history and philosophy I did outstanding work, so I dove into them the next semester with a second course in the history of philosophy and the course in Symbolic Logic.  It was hell at first.  The kind of intellectual rigor required for logical reasoning can bring on headaches.  The night before the mid-term I stayed in the library past midnight, my book open, pencil working out proofs, scratching out false starts, feeling dismayed.  It was German all over again.  I didn’t get it, wouldn’t get it.  This was impossible stuff.

I do not remember the problem, but I do remember the moment when, like a lightning bolt, it came to me.  Like Moses parting the Red Sea, the path to logical clarity opened up.   I did very well in that course and learned something about persisting in an academic area that at first seemed impenetrable.  Intuition was a part of my learning style.

AncientTrails Visits All Continents

Samhain                                         Waning Wolf Moon

“Just as the wave cannot exist for itself, but is ever a part of the heaving surface of the ocean, so must I never live my life for itself, but always in the experience which is going on around me. It is an uncomfortable doctrine which the true ethics whisper into my ear. You are happy, they say; therefore you are called upon to give much.” – Albert Schweitzer

Schweitzer was a theologian with unusual views and a favorite of my Mom and Dad.   His “reverence for life” played an important part in their thinking about politics and the world.  Though I’ve never considered it before, I imagine his perspective had a role in shaping mine, too.  Reverence for life was a pre-abortion hoo-ha concept and not meant to be part of that debate.

Just reviewed Google Analytics for AncienTrails.  Thanks to the wonder of the internet (and google) this website has received visits from all 7 continents and 46 of the 50 states in the last month.  Only Nevada, North Dakota, Delaware and Connecticut recorded no hits from November 7th to December 5th.  I find this very strange, perhaps unexplainable, but somehow pleasing, too.  Anyhow, if you’re one of those readers from other parts of the world, please add a comment or two from time to time.  It would be fun to get a conversation going.

Kate and I just took the first two segments of the 55 Alive online driver safety course.  It reminds you that reaction time slows down as you age.   Drinking and driving?  No.  That prescription and non-prescription drugs affect our driving.  Mostly stuff you know, but good reminders so far.  Sobering statistics about driving after age 75, too.  Crashes and fatalities go up considerably with people in those age ranges having the same accident rate of drivers from 16-24 with more deaths.  Gotta factor that into retirement planning.

The Vikes vs. Cardinals game got moved to the higher ratings slot of Sunday night football.  That means the day time is more free than usual at this point on Sunday.

I visited Big Brain Comics yesterday and picked up two graphic novels, both, believe it or not, on advice from reviews in the New York Times.  Strike Force is an anti-war novel set in Iraq and LogiComix, very improbably, is a biography of Bertrand Russell and his work on the Principia Mathematica.  Last night Strike Force kept me up past midnight.

Winter

Samhain                                   Waning Wolf Moon

A light dusting of snow has given snowy caps to the rocks in our boulder wall and covered the potting bench like Wondra shaken out to coat a chicken breast.  This amount of snow emphasizes late fall by highlighting downed leaves, their brown color emphasizing the not-yet-winter feel of this early December Saturday.

Coming at a lower angle from the sky,  pale sunlight does tell the tale of seasonal change, filtered through a milky haze, giving the morning a starkness seen through leafless trees and their bare branches.  The thermometer, too, suggests winter.  We hit a low this morning of 13 degrees and the temperature stands now at 10:20 a.m. is 20.   This is ten degrees below normal.

October was cooler than normal; we had our first significant fall then.  November was warmer than normal and we had only a tiny snow fall in a month in which we usually 9-10 inches.  December is now substantially cooler.  This qualifies as strange weather.

Both NOAA and Paul Douglas predict some snowfall early next week as a strong storm system passes through Iowa, southern Minnesota and into Wisconsin.  We could see amounts in the range of 1-2 inches over 3 days. We get a white Christmas 3 years out of 4.  I hope this is one of them.  A blanket of snow makes the season merrier.

Gotta go now because I have to prepare a 3-minute speech on fair trade for a fair-trade rally.  I’m representing the Sierra Club and emphasizing the need for environmental regulations to travel with worker’s rights protections–both here and abroad–as goods and services cross international borders.

Weather Week Ahead: Colder

Samhain                                  Full Wolf Moon

A light dusting of snow this morning came on the heels of a drop in temperature.  We’re down to 21 right now with a low in the last 24 hours of 20.  According to NOAA and Paul Douglas, we have a bunch of cold air headed our way, air now sitting over the Canadian Prairie provinces.  The 24 hour night over the Arctic combines with the ice and snow covered terrain to produce very cold weather that then squeezes itself out to the south all around the Arctic perimeter.610tempnew

There is a teeny bit of snow in the forecast, flurries in the 20% probability range.

The drought conditions have not been updated since November 19th when Anoka County was in the moderately dry range.  The lack of appreciable snow so far can only intensify the drought.

The area with the B predicts below normal temperatures for the next 6-10 days.

The bees need me right now and the straw in the back of the truck.  Later on.